Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 2-4
Frem 1886 vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
ATH
3 - 0
CCF
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATH
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
ATH
2 - 0
CCF
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
CCF
0 - 1
ATH
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
ATH
1 - 1
ATM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |