Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ANN
1 - 3
FRE
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 3
NIC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCM
0 - 0
FRE
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FRE
4 - 1
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
OLY
6 - 0
FRE
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 1
NIC
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FCM
0 - 2
SPO
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
GRA
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 4
SPO
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 2
SAI
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |