Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
RED
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
FCR
4 - 3
FRE
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 2
BRC
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 2
VAN
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
LPS
2 - 0
FRE
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
RED
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
RED
2 - 0
VAN
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
LPS
0 - 2
RED
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
RED
2 - 1
LUS
25%
28%
47%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
LUZ
2 - 0
RED
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |