Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Olympique Alès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
7º
29
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 0
FRE
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
AND
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
THO
1 - 1
FRE
49%
24%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
HYE
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LPV
1 - 2
FRE
56%
26%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
6 - 1
RSD
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
JUR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AND
2 - 1
OLY
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
THO
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |