Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
FRE
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 2
JUR
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUB
0 - 0
FRE
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FRE
2 - 0
CSL
51%
24%
24%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
RVA
1 - 0
FRE
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MGG
0 - 1
SAI
46%
26%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RVA
1 - 1
MGG
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MGG
3 - 2
RVA
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 1
MGG
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAI
3 - 3
MGG
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |