Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 0
FRE
86%
12%
2%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 3
YZE
47%
26%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
JUR
2 - 0
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 1
OLY
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
FRE
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
MGG
0 - 1
MOA
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MGG
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
MGG
1 - 1
OLY
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
YZE
1 - 0
MGG
37%
28%
36%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
JUR
2 - 1
MGG
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |