Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MON
3 - 2
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 2
FRE
47%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 2
LEP
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 3
FRE
30%
27%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MGG
1 - 2
MON
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
MGG
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
MGG
5 - 0
ROD
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PAU
0 - 1
MGG
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MGG
0 - 0
HYE
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |