Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
VAN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
PFC
0 - 0
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
STR
2 - 0
FRE
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 0
GAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 2
RED
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 2
UZE
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
RED
1 - 1
LUC
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 2
COL
46%
27%
28%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 0
LUC
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOU
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |