Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Le Puy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
48%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
6º
5º
25
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
25 | 55 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 34 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 34 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 53.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RVA
1 - 0
FRE
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
AND
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
FRE
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Le Puy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
LPV
0 - 1
ANG
69%
21%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AGD
1 - 5
LPV
10%
20%
71%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HYE
0 - 0
LPV
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 2
LPV
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LPV
4 - 1
LES
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |