Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
7º
42
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
FRE
21%
27%
53%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOU
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
FRE
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 0
SAI
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 2
FRE
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
OLY
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JUR
0 - 0
GRA
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MGG
1 - 1
GRA
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 2
JUR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AUB
2 - 2
GRA
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |