Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Colmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
FRE
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 0
AMI
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
LUZ
1 - 2
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
USB
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 3
FRE
29%
27%
45%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
UZE
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
RED
0 - 1
COL
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
COL
50%
28%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 0
COL
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
LPS
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |