Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
PFC
1 - 2
FRE
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
ORL
4 - 1
FRE
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
FRE
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
BOU
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
FRE
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
QUE
0 - 0
CHE
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
SPI
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
UZE
1 - 1
CHE
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
LUS
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
MET
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |