Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 2
FRE
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
NÎM
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
FRE
21%
28%
51%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 0
ASB
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 3
FRE
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
VAN
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LPS
1 - 1
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 0
LUS
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
LES
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 3
CHE
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |