Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Carquefou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AMI
2 - 0
FRE
37%
28%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
LUZ
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
USB
2 - 1
FRE
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 1
LUC
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 0
VAN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carquefou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
UZE
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
RED
1 - 1
CAR
40%
30%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
COL
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 0
CAR
35%
31%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 1
LPS
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |