Fréjus St-Raphaël vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
BOU
4 - 0
FRE
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 0
LUC
48%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 2
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
FRE
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
FRE
27%
29%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 3
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 0
CAB
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 3
RED
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 0
CAB
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |