Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Bourg-Péronnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
FRE
27%
28%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 3
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
USB
0 - 1
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
PFC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SPI
1 - 1
FRE
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bourg-Péronnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 1
IST
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 2
BOU
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 1
RED
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
AVR
2 - 1
BOU
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 0
STR
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |