Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 1
NIC
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 0
FRE
41%
30%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 4
RED
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 1
FRE
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 2
STR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
TRO
4 - 1
CHA
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
LHA
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
DIJ
0 - 1
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
VAL
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |