Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HYE
0 - 0
FRE
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FCM
1 - 3
FRE
25%
27%
49%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 0
MEZ
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
MGG
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
LHA
1 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
AUX
1 - 0
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
AUX
3 - 1
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
SOC
0 - 1
AUX
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AUX
0 - 2
ORL
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |