Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
12º
7º
52
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
FRE
59%
24%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
FRE
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
BOU
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
OLY
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 0
OLY
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JUR
1 - 1
AUB
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
THO
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HYE
0 - 1
AUB
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
LPV
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |