Sportive Fréjusienne vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 2
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 0
AUB
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
3 - 1
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 1
VAU
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
AGD
1 - 0
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
AND
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 2
AUB
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
1 - 0
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |