Freier TuS vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freier TuS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
FTR
1 - 1
BAY
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SEL
1 - 1
FTR
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FTR
2 - 3
TSV
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FTR
1 - 3
ROS
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 3
FTR
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 1
ING
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HEI
1 - 1
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 1
RAI
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BAY
1 - 0
ROS
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
UNT
0 - 1
BAY
61%
22%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |