Freienbach vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
FRE
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
KRE
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SVS
1 - 2
FRE
33%
22%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
MAR
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
FRE
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SEU
3 - 1
WID
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WID
3 - 2
LIN
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
WID
5 - 2
UST
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
5 - 2
WID
20%
21%
60%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -3 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
WID
4 - 1
GOS
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |