Freienbach vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 2
FRE
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
SEU
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 4
FRE
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 2
UST
47%
22%
32%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 3
FRE
29%
21%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
AMR
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
MAR
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
SIR
24%
23%
54%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SEU
2 - 1
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
WID
1 - 0
MAR
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |