Freienbach vs Kreuzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
60.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
15º
15º
16
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 38.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
FRE
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
ESC
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCW
2 - 1
FRE
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 3
YFJ
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
0 - 1
FRE
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kreuzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KRE
0 - 0
KOS
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
KRE
4 - 1
SVS
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 4
KRE
37%
23%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 2
LIN
68%
17%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
1 - 3
KRE
28%
24%
47%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |