Freienbach vs Weesen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.8%
10.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
16º
14º
24
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 1
FRE
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 5
GRA
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HON
3 - 0
FRE
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 3
WIN
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 2
FRE
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Weesen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCW
0 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCG
3 - 2
FCW
62%
18%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 1
UZW
39%
22%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
KRE
3 - 2
FCW
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
FCW
67%
17%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |