Freienbach vs Luterbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SCH
4 - 1
FRE
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 1
FRE
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 4
FCO
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 1
FRE
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FRE
5 - 3
KUS
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luterbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 3
HON
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCL
0 - 1
SEE
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DUL
1 - 0
FCL
18%
21%
62%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 2
FCL
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FCL
3 - 1
FCT
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |