Freienbach vs Bazenheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 2
FRE
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 4
YOB
5%
11%
84%
|
30 | 84 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FRE
5 - 1
CHU
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 1
FRE
25%
21%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 3
FCP
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bazenheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAZ
0 - 4
FRA
46%
24%
31%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAZ
2 - 1
TOW
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 0
BAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BAZ
2 - 4
CHU
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 3
BAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |