Freienbach vs Eschen/Mauren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
15º
15º
8
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCW
2 - 1
FRE
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 3
YFJ
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MEN
0 - 1
FRE
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
TUG
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TAV
2 - 0
FRE
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Eschen/Mauren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 1
KOS
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 0
ESC
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ESC
6 - 0
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KRE
2 - 1
ESC
55%
21%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
TUG
5 - 3
ESC
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |