Freienbach vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
83.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.6%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FRE
5 - 1
CHU
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 1
FRE
25%
21%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 3
FCP
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
SEU
2 - 4
FRE
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
EMA
3 - 10
FRE
12%
17%
72%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCL
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 2
YOB
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
YOB
4 - 1
NEX
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 8
YOB
4%
10%
86%
|
83 | 8 | 75 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LAU
0 - 3
YOB
14%
21%
66%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |