Freienbach vs Amriswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 1
FRE
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 3
LIN
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHU
0 - 1
FRE
19%
21%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 0
ARB
75%
14%
10%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UST
0 - 1
FRE
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Amriswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
KRE
2 - 0
AMR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AMR
2 - 1
WIL
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LIN
2 - 0
AMR
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AMR
4 - 2
CHU
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
4 - 1
AMR
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |