Freiburger FC vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 2
FRE
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 3
REU
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KEH
3 - 3
FRE
12%
21%
68%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
STU
1 - 0
FRE
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 0
VFR
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
ULM
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ULM
1 - 1
STU
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
ULM
1 - 0
FRE
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 1
ULM
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ULM
4 - 1
AAL
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |