Freiburger FC vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
WAL
5 - 0
FRE
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
FRE
1 - 4
KSC
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
ULM
3 - 1
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
FRE
2 - 2
WWO
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
HOM
5 - 2
FRE
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1980 |
ULM
0 - 0
OFC
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
ULM
3 - 1
FRE
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SAA
3 - 2
ULM
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
ULM
1 - 3
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1980 |
FSV
1 - 0
ULM
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |