Freiburger FC vs SpVgg Neckarelz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
KSC
2 - 1
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
FRE
2 - 2
BAY
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
EIN
1 - 0
FRE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1978 |
FRE
1 - 0
SVS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1978 |
PIR
0 - 2
FRE
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |