Freiburger FC vs MTV Ingolstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
KSC
2 - 2
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 0
ULM
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
WWO
3 - 4
FRE
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
FRE
1 - 0
HOM
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
SCF
1 - 1
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
MTV
2 - 2
SAA
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
FCN
3 - 1
MTV
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
MTV
6 - 1
FSV
48%
23%
28%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1979 |
DAR
5 - 0
MTV
79%
14%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1979 |
MTV
6 - 2
EIN
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |