Freiburger FC vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
HES
3 - 0
FRE
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
FRE
1 - 1
SCF
67%
19%
15%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 2
FRE
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
FRE
2 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
SGF
2 - 1
FRE
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
HOL
3 - 2
USA
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
HOL
3 - 2
KAS
93%
6%
2%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
HOL
3 - 1
PRE
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
USO
4 - 1
HOL
72%
17%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
VIK
0 - 3
HOL
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |