Freiburger FC vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
FSV
0 - 0
FRE
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 2
MTV
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
KSC
2 - 2
FRE
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
FRE
2 - 0
ULM
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1979 |
WWO
3 - 4
FRE
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
FCN
3 - 0
SAA
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
FCN
1 - 2
HOM
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1979 |
FCN
6 - 0
FSV
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
DAR
1 - 2
FCN
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
FCN
3 - 1
MTV
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |