Freiburg U19 vs Saarbrücken U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
4º
4º
0
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 32 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 30 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 24 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 19 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 13 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 8 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
0 | 8 |
8º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
FRE
5 - 0
KAR
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
HAN
0 - 3
FRE
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
FRE
6 - 1
MUN
41%
21%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
STU
2 - 0
FRE
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 3
HOF
30%
21%
49%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saarbrücken U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
DAR
0 - 2
SAA
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAA
1 - 0
STU
73%
16%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
KAI
5 - 0
SAA
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAA
2 - 1
UNT
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ING
3 - 2
SAA
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |