Freiburg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 2
MUN
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
STU
0 - 3
FRE
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
4 - 0
FSV
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
HOF
3 - 0
FRE
53%
21%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
FRE
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
KAR
0 - 1
MAI
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 1
NUR
64%
19%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 0
MAI
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAI
0 - 0
BYM
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAI
1 - 4
HOF
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |