Freiburg II vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STE
1 - 0
FRE
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
HOF
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 2
FRE
21%
22%
56%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
5 - 1
OFC
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
STU
4 - 2
FRE
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ULM
2 - 0
RVO
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ELV
1 - 1
ULM
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ULM
1 - 1
HES
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
STE
3 - 2
ULM
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
ULM
0 - 0
HOF
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |