Freiburg II vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 1
FRE
28%
24%
49%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
FRE
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -3 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
PFO
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
FRE
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 0
REU
83%
12%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
OBE
0 - 2
KSC
41%
22%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
OBE
2 - 0
GOP
47%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
OFF
2 - 4
OBE
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
OBE
1 - 0
AST
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
OBE
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |