Freiburg II vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ZWE
0 - 1
FRE
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
5 - 0
BAU
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ELV
1 - 1
FRE
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
AST
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HOF
2 - 1
FRE
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 1
HOM
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
3 - 1
EIN
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WWO
1 - 2
NOT
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
2 - 3
NEC
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PIR
2 - 2
NOT
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |