Freiburg II vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 1
FRE
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
FRE
2 - 0
FCE
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SGS
2 - 0
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
FRE
5 - 2
FRE
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
FRE
1 - 1
NOR
73%
17%
11%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
ULM
5 - 1
NOT
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
NOT
0 - 1
SVS
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
CRA
3 - 1
NOT
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
NOT
4 - 0
FCE
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SGS
0 - 0
NOT
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |