Freiburg II vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 2
FRE
23%
28%
49%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
SVS
0 - 0
FRE
43%
28%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
FRE
2 - 0
BON
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
HOF
0 - 3
FRE
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
FRE
1 - 2
FVL
65%
22%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 5
SVS
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
HOF
1 - 3
NOR
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 1
WAL
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 3
REU
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CRA
5 - 3
NOR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |