Freiburg II vs SpVgg Neckarelz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 1
FRE
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 0
STU
88%
9%
4%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAH
0 - 0
FRE
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 4
BIS
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OBE
0 - 3
FRE
21%
22%
58%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Neckarelz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
KSC
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GOP
5 - 0
NEC
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 2
OFF
48%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
AST
2 - 0
NEC
10%
15%
74%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 5
SAN
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |