Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 2
HES
61%
20%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
OFC
5 - 1
FRE
52%
25%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SAA
0 - 0
FRE
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FRE
5 - 2
KOB
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
FRE
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
HOM
2 - 2
HOF
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
OFC
2 - 2
HOM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
HOM
1 - 1
WAL
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
HOM
1 - 0
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
KOB
1 - 1
HOM
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |