Freiburg II vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 0
STU
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
HEI
1 - 0
FRE
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LUD
0 - 2
FRE
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
4 - 3
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
FRE
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
STU
0 - 0
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
2 - 2
VIL
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 2
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 0
BAH
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BON
0 - 3
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |