Freiberg vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
FRE
4 - 0
FRE
36%
22%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 1
HOL
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
FRE
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
2 - 2
OBE
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KEH
1 - 2
FRE
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
REU
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
FRE
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HOL
0 - 2
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OBE
4 - 2
VIL
68%
17%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |