Freiberg vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 3
BAH
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
REU
1 - 2
FRE
33%
23%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FRE
5 - 0
FRE
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
STU
1 - 1
FRE
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FRE
3 - 1
VFR
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
5 - 0
SPI
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PFU
3 - 1
VIL
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
RAV
43%
23%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GFR
2 - 0
VIL
22%
22%
55%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 4
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |