Freiberg vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOF
2 - 0
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 2
FRE
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 2
FRE
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 0
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 3
BAH
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAL
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SGS
3 - 0
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
KEH
0 - 0
VIL
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
VIL
29%
26%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |