Freiberg vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ULM
3 - 2
FRE
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
1 - 0
BAH
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BON
0 - 3
FRE
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 1
FVL
53%
26%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2004 |
SVS
2 - 1
FRE
61%
23%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -3 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 3
STU
38%
27%
35%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FRE
4 - 3
VIL
76%
17%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ULM
5 - 0
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAH
33%
26%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 3
STU
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -2 |